hyperWind-forecastby Fathom Science
Observation-driven · 6-hour multi-task forecast
Persistence
Predicted max 6 h
Observed max 6 h
Risk ≥15 m/s
Historical input, forecast and verification12 h input (30-min display) · 6 h forecast (10-min) · JST
WindowMax observedMax predictedRisk ≥15 iRisk ≥20 iRisk ≥25 i
P50 is the conditional median; P90 is the conditional 90th percentile. Threshold outputs are uncalibrated risk scores and should not yet be interpreted as exact probabilities.